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Red243
8867.9
115367.4
19078.7
Blue105
207926.1
964448.7
71620.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20664050100150250300243105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+90Teleop
+124Endgame
+138Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave9
10Coral scored#2
48Coral points10
57Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +52
21Coral scored#17
74Coral points60
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
30Processor points12
32Net points12
62Algae points24
136Total teleop84
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#24
BargeRed +34
36Cage & park2
36Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +138
14Foul points0
243Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.72.5
72.775.2
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 29.9
9644
#16
48.70.9
45.146.0
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
Second
88
#10
67.92.5
56.959.4
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
red by 41.8
2079
#37
26.10.9
17.718.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Third
67.42.5
49.051.5
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
red by 47.0
716
#31
20.50.9
13.414.3
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed