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Red113
111940.5
416910.5
12642.7
Blue108
870918.8
500046.9
110051.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68126050100150200113108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave0
4Coral scored#7
22Coral points37
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +34
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
12Processor points6
32Net points8
44Algae points14
87Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
113Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#22
42.73.2
34.237.4
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
blue by 8.9
51.60.0
43.043.0
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
1119
#18
40.53.2
24.127.3
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
blue by 6.3
5000
#11
46.90.0
38.038.0
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
Third
4169
#36
10.53.2
7.110.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 8.2
8709
#32
18.80.0
25.425.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned