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Red212
169958.4
12574.1
206746.6
Blue103
854423.0
318232.6
127732.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17173050100150200250212103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+97Teleop
+107Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
43Coral points3
43Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
25Coral scored#10
89Coral points36
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
18Processor points12
24Net points20
42Algae points32
131Total teleop68
Reef
10L4#4
10L3#3
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#1
43Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +109
2Foul points0
212Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
74.13.0
69.372.3
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
red by 41.5
3182
#33
32.60.6
28.128.7
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Second
1699
#21
58.43.0
50.653.6
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
red by 25.8
32.50.6
25.526.2
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
2067
#12
46.63.0
31.234.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
red by 23.6
8544
#35
23.01.1
25.726.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned