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Red93
1039321.9
173536.9
207926.1
Blue164
23054.9
715340.7
542244.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50104015020093164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+57
Endgame+59
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points37
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +33
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
66Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points12
93Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#17
36.92.2
20.022.3
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
blue by 18.0
230
#5
54.93.5
38.441.9
Auto18.2
Teleop30.5
End6.1
Second
2079
#37
26.12.0
16.818.9
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
blue by 18.8
5422
#14
44.93.5
25.128.7
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Third
21.92.0
14.616.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
blue by 18.8
7153
#13
40.75.9
24.230.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned