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Red168
110051.6
226220.5
8867.9
Blue66
549112.0
237056.8
854423.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1327205010015020016866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+64Teleop
+88Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
98Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#6
9L3#4
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#16
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
14Foul points0
168Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#10
67.92.7
58.160.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
red by 11.1
56.80.4
40.139.7
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
Second
51.62.7
38.140.8
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
red by 28.6
8544
#35
23.00.7
24.523.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
Third
2262
#28
20.52.7
17.019.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 8.5
5491
#26
12.00.4
7.47.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed