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Red136
175742.0
23054.9
39588.5
Blue90
715340.7
490535.3
860431.7
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010205015020025013690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+56Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
87Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points10
136Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
54.92.3
45.447.7
Auto18.2
Teleop30.5
End6.1
red by 14.1
7153
#13
40.72.1
34.832.7
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
Second
1757
#15
42.02.3
43.045.3
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
red by 6.7
4905
#24
35.31.2
32.831.6
Auto7.8
Teleop23.0
End4.5
Third
3958
#38
8.52.3
5.88.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 23.2
8604
#23
31.71.2
22.020.8
Auto4.4
Teleop25.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed