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Red134
110051.6
542244.9
545939.7
Blue120
320517.8
964448.7
8867.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131296080100140160180200134120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
19Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +22
22Coral scored#20
79Coral points73
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
109Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#6
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points0
134Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.5
43.044.5
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
blue by 16.3
88
#10
67.90.2
59.459.2
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
Second
5422
#14
44.91.5
34.536.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
blue by 3.8
9644
#16
48.70.2
46.045.8
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
Third
39.71.5
31.432.9
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End1.5
red by 21.9
3205
#30
17.80.2
17.417.2
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed