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Red57
71620.5
416910.5
362322.8
Blue145
12642.7
854423.0
12574.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3616805010015020025057145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+92
Endgame+94
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +64
8Coral scored#21
30Coral points74
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
40Total teleop104
Reef
4L4#11
1L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
10Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
6Foul points0
57Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#25
22.80.3
20.119.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
blue by 51.4
125
#2
74.10.2
72.372.1
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
716
#31
20.50.3
14.314.0
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
blue by 22.3
126
#22
42.70.2
37.437.2
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
Third
4169
#36
10.50.3
10.310.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 12.5
8544
#35
23.00.3
26.726.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed