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Red153
500046.9
19078.7
207926.1
Blue115
206746.6
549112.0
545939.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15170050100200153115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
18Coral scored#15
63Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
97Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#4
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points2
153Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.71.4
72.473.8
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 32.1
2067
#12
46.62.5
34.737.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
Second
5000
#11
46.91.4
38.539.9
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
red by 7.2
39.72.5
32.935.5
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Third
2079
#37
26.11.4
19.721.0
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
red by 14.1
5491
#26
12.02.5
7.49.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned