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Red115
15732.6
110051.6
416910.5
Blue126
71620.5
12574.1
1039321.9
16%Model gave it84%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8712250100150200115126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
92Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
8Foul points12
115Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.0
44.545.5
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
blue by 22.5
125
#2
74.10.0
72.172.1
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
157
#34
32.61.7
26.127.8
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 10.6
21.90.0
16.916.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Third
4169
#36
10.51.0
10.011.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 10.0
716
#31
20.50.0
14.014.0
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned