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Red145
176869.3
173536.9
320517.8
Blue129
8867.9
39588.5
862636.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10310490100110120130140145129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#17
72Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#7
18Processor points6
20Net points28
38Algae points34
110Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
8Foul points0
145Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.31.9
55.357.3
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
red by 1.4
88
#10
67.91.5
59.260.7
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
Second
1735
#17
36.91.9
24.626.5
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
red by 0.5
8626
#29
36.41.5
27.629.1
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
Third
3205
#30
17.81.9
17.219.1
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
red by 9.3
3958
#38DQ
8.51.5
8.09.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed