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Red105
870918.8
860431.7
964448.7
Blue48
318232.6
226220.5
715340.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039140608012014016010548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points13
25Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
11Coral scored#5
40Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
76Total teleop28
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
105Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
48.70.9
45.846.7
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
red by 8.0
7153
#13
40.73.6
32.729.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
Second
8604
#23
31.70.9
20.821.6
Auto4.4
Teleop25.3
End2.0
blue by 0.9
3182
#33
32.62.2
28.726.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Third
8709
#32
18.80.9
25.426.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 1.8
2262
#28
20.52.2
19.217.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsMissed