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Red135
115367.4
362322.8
111940.5
Blue95
174041.1
542244.9
318232.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112109608010012014016018013595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +43
21Coral scored#11
74Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
92Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
135Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.41.9
52.854.7
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
red by 22.5
5422
#14
44.90.3
36.035.7
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Second
1119
#18
40.51.9
28.430.2
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
blue by 0.5
1740
#19
41.10.3
36.936.6
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
Third
3623
#25
22.81.9
19.821.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
blue by 9.9
3182
#33
32.60.3
26.526.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned