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Red96
15732.6
854423.0
169958.4
Blue98
110051.6
127732.5
1006323.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251090501502002509698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points37
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
6Processor points24
8Net points12
14Algae points36
72Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
96Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#21
58.41.3
54.753.5
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
red by 6.8
51.60.0
45.545.6
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
157
#34
32.62.1
27.825.7
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 0.1
32.50.0
27.527.5
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
8544
#35
23.02.1
26.524.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
blue by 0.8
23.80.0
24.324.3
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned