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Red96
545939.7
226220.5
71620.5
Blue55
416910.5
39588.5
173536.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795101001509655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
75Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
96Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.4
35.536.9
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End1.5
red by 2.7
1735
#17
36.90.1
26.526.4
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
Second
2262
#28
20.51.4
17.018.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 10.0
4169
#36
10.50.1
11.010.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
716
#31
20.51.4
14.015.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
red by 12.0
3958
#38
8.50.1
9.69.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned