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Red119
862636.4
206746.6
860431.7
Blue190
237056.8
8867.9
715340.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8615450100200119190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+53
Endgame+63
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
14Coral scored#23
51Coral points81
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
18Processor points24
20Net points16
38Algae points40
89Total teleop121
Reef
7L4#11
2L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points8
119Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
46.61.5
37.238.8
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
blue by 21.3
88
#10
67.92.6
60.763.3
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
Second
8626
#29
36.41.5
29.130.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
blue by 20.4
56.82.6
45.347.9
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
Third
8604
#23
31.71.5
21.623.2
Auto4.4
Teleop25.3
End2.0
blue by 9.0
7153
#13
40.74.3
29.133.4
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned