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Red122
964448.7
19078.7
549112.0
Blue55
207926.1
362322.8
870918.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152685010020012255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
71Total teleop39
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
122Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.70.6
73.873.2
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 52.5
2079
#37
26.11.0
21.020.1
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Second
9644
#16
48.70.6
46.746.1
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
red by 26.0
3623
#25
22.81.0
21.620.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Third
5491
#26
12.00.6
9.99.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 6.7
8709
#32
18.81.0
26.625.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed