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Red112
169958.4
12642.7
320517.8
Blue166
115367.4
1039321.9
490535.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11912090100110130140150160112166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +29
0Leave9
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
13Total auto42
TeleoperatedBlue +13
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
95Total teleop108
Reef
10L4#15
5L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
112Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#21
58.40.4
53.553.1
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
blue by 9.1
67.43.5
54.758.2
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
Second
126
#22
42.70.4
36.135.7
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
red by 7.5
4905
#24
35.33.5
30.534.0
Auto7.8
Teleop23.0
End4.5
Third
3205
#30
17.80.4
19.118.7
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
blue by 4.2
21.93.5
16.820.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned