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Red30
862636.4
416910.5
870918.8
Blue131
362322.8
8867.9
545939.7
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651425010020030131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+93
Endgame+101
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +69
4Coral scored#18
14Coral points65
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
18Total teleop87
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#6
0L1 · trough#5
6Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points0
30Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8626
#29
36.42.7
30.627.9
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
blue by 31.5
88
#10
67.90.5
63.363.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
Second
8709
#32
18.82.7
25.723.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 20.9
39.70.5
36.937.4
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Third
4169
#36
10.52.7
10.98.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 12.2
3623
#25
22.80.5
20.721.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned