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Red161
542244.9
1006323.8
176869.3
Blue166
12574.1
318232.6
175742.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13116850100150200250161166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
23Coral scored#18
82Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
102Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#8
7L3#8
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points8
161Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.31.5
62.564.0
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
blue by 4.8
125
#2
74.10.1
75.075.1
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
5422
#14
44.91.5
38.039.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
red by 3.0
1757
#15
42.00.1
43.944.1
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
Third
23.81.5
23.725.2
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End2.5
blue by 8.9
3182
#33
32.60.1
29.329.4
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned