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Red134
23054.9
15732.6
964448.7
Blue139
71620.5
110051.6
173536.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1379550150200134139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points63
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
18Processor points24
12Net points24
30Algae points48
90Total teleop111
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
134Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
54.90.2
48.048.2
Auto18.2
Teleop30.5
End6.1
red by 3.3
51.62.7
45.648.3
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
9644
#16
48.70.2
46.146.3
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
red by 11.8
1735
#17
36.92.7
26.429.1
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
Third
157
#34
32.60.3
25.726.0
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 12.1
716
#31
20.52.7
15.418.1
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned