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Red66
127732.5
175742.0
226220.5
Blue112
318232.6
320517.8
500046.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105905015020066112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+40
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +40
9Coral scored#21
31Coral points75
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
49Total teleop89
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
66Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#15
42.02.0
44.242.2
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
blue by 4.9
5000
#11
46.91.8
39.841.6
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
Second
32.52.0
31.329.3
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
blue by 0.1
3182
#33
32.61.8
26.228.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Third
2262
#28
20.52.0
18.516.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 2.8
3205
#30
17.81.8
18.720.5
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned