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Red76
320517.8
174041.1
854423.0
Blue115
1006323.8
19078.7
416910.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912640608010014016018076115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
56Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points24
76Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#19
41.11.1
40.639.5
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
blue by 37.6
190
#1
78.71.5
74.472.9
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
Second
8544
#35
23.01.7
25.724.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
blue by 0.8
23.81.5
25.223.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Third
3205
#30
17.81.1
20.519.5
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
red by 7.2
4169
#36
10.51.5
8.26.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned