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Red249
110051.6
115367.4
12574.1
Blue143
500046.9
862636.4
175742.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20811150150250300249143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+64Teleop
+76Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points24
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
31Coral scored#20
112Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
150Total teleop99
Reef
17L4#6
12L3#9
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
30Foul points0
249Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
74.11.7
73.375.0
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
red by 27.3
5000
#11
46.91.3
41.642.9
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
Second
67.41.7
60.762.4
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
red by 25.5
1757
#15
42.01.3
42.243.6
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
Third
51.61.7
48.350.0
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
red by 15.2
8626
#29
36.41.3
27.929.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned