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Red130
715340.7
127732.5
12642.7
Blue94
549112.0
111940.5
1039321.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1267605010015020013094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points44
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
97Total teleop56
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points6
130Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#22
42.71.3
36.037.3
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
red by 2.2
1119
#18
40.51.2
37.138.3
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
Second
7153
#13
40.72.0
39.041.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
red by 18.8
21.91.2
23.824.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Third
32.51.3
29.330.6
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
red by 20.5
5491
#26
12.01.2
9.710.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned