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Red115
318232.6
207926.1
206746.6
Blue117
542244.9
490535.3
15732.6
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981136080120140160180115117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points69
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
62Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#10
4L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
115Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
46.61.3
41.542.8
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
red by 1.6
5422
#14
44.91.1
36.938.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Second
3182
#33
32.61.3
28.129.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
blue by 2.6
4905
#24
35.31.1
34.335.3
Auto7.8
Teleop23.0
End4.5
Third
2079
#37
26.11.3
20.321.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
blue by 6.5
157
#34
32.61.5
29.931.4
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned