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Red74
362322.8
39588.5
169958.4
Blue145
19078.7
320517.8
237056.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871635010015020025074145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+63
Endgame+65
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +42
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
51Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points6
74Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#21
58.41.0
55.854.8
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
blue by 20.3
190
#1
78.70.3
72.972.5
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
Second
3623
#25
22.81.0
22.521.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
blue by 34.0
56.80.3
51.851.5
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
Third
3958
#38
8.51.0
10.89.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 9.3
3205
#30
17.80.3
19.519.1
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned