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Red88
174041.1
1006323.8
870918.8
Blue129
226220.5
173536.9
115367.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9513140608012014016018020088129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#18
40Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
58Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
88Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#19
41.10.0
39.539.5
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
blue by 26.4
67.41.2
62.463.6
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
Second
23.80.0
23.723.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End2.5
blue by 13.1
1735
#17
36.91.2
30.431.7
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
Third
8709
#32
18.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 1.8
2262
#28
20.51.2
17.618.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned