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Red113
715340.7
964448.7
854423.0
Blue73
175742.0
416910.5
549112.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1336105010015020011373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
85Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points0
113Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
48.70.5
47.447.0
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
red by 6.8
1757
#15
42.00.4
43.643.9
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
Second
7153
#13
40.70.7
41.140.4
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
red by 28.7
5491
#26
12.00.4
10.811.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
8544
#35
23.00.7
24.023.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
red by 12.5
4169
#36
10.50.4
6.77.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned