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Red179
12574.1
490535.3
8867.9
Blue150
542244.9
111940.5
862636.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20210850150250179150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
26Coral scored#24
93Coral points87
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
119Total teleop109
Reef
16L4#12
5L3#5
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points2
179Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
74.10.5
75.174.5
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
red by 29.2
5422
#14
44.92.0
39.441.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Second
88
#10
67.90.5
65.665.0
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
red by 27.3
1119
#18
40.52.0
38.340.3
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
Third
4905
#24
35.30.5
35.334.8
Auto7.8
Teleop23.0
End4.5
blue by 1.1
8626
#29
36.42.0
29.331.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned