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Red106
860431.7
71620.5
500046.9
Blue167
23054.9
207926.1
127732.5
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981186080140160180106167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+35
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
17Coral scored#24
60Coral points88
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#4
6Processor points0
24Net points16
30Algae points16
90Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#10
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
106Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#11
46.90.5
42.943.5
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
blue by 8.0
230
#5
54.93.6
50.053.5
Auto18.2
Teleop30.5
End6.1
Second
8604
#23
31.70.5
25.325.9
Auto4.4
Teleop25.3
End2.0
blue by 0.8
32.53.6
30.634.2
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
716
#31
20.50.5
20.621.2
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
blue by 5.6
2079
#37
26.13.6
21.625.2
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned