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Red161
237056.8
206746.6
173536.9
Blue100
416910.5
320517.8
12574.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311050100200161100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+45Teleop
+63Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points42
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
107Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points2
161Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.82.3
51.553.8
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
blue by 17.3
125
#2
74.10.2
74.574.4
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
2067
#12
46.62.3
42.845.1
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
red by 28.8
3205
#30
17.80.2
19.118.9
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Third
1735
#17
36.92.3
31.734.0
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
red by 26.4
4169
#36
10.50.2
7.16.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed