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Red91
207926.1
549112.0
542244.9
Blue119
169958.4
127732.5
71620.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821305010015020091119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
53Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points22
91Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#14
44.90.5
41.441.9
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
blue by 13.4
1699
#21
58.41.3
54.853.5
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
Second
2079
#37
26.10.5
25.225.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
blue by 6.4
32.51.3
34.232.9
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
5491
#26
12.00.5
11.211.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 8.5
716
#31DQ
20.51.3
21.219.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed