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Red194
12574.1
176869.3
127732.5
Blue163
174041.1
169958.4
115367.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813350100200250194163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
47Coral points13
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points76
5Processor algae#3
9Net algae#6
30Processor points18
36Net points24
66Algae points42
131Total teleop118
Reef
6L4#10
11L3#5
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
194Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
74.12.9
64.567.4
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
red by 6.7
67.41.6
45.947.5
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
Second
69.32.9
52.455.3
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
red by 10.9
1699
#21
58.41.6
47.048.6
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
Third
32.52.9
21.724.7
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
blue by 8.5
1740
#19
41.11.8
34.736.5
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned