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Red84
870918.8
71620.5
12642.7
Blue105
206746.6
15732.6
320517.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837305010015020025084105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
67Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points18
84Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#22
42.70.4
32.532.8
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
blue by 3.9
2067
#12
46.61.4
27.929.3
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
Second
716
#31
20.50.4
17.017.3
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
blue by 12.1
157
#34
32.62.3
25.628.0
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Third
8709
#32
18.80.4
23.023.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
red by 1.0
3205
#30
17.81.4
12.614.0
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed