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Red146
111940.5
206746.6
175742.0
Blue113
226220.5
169958.4
416910.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14576050100200250146113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
102Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#5
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
146Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
46.60.9
45.146.0
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
blue by 11.8
1699
#21
58.41.9
53.555.3
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
Second
1757
#15
42.00.9
42.243.1
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
red by 21.4
2262
#28
20.51.9
18.820.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
1119
#18
40.50.9
40.341.1
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
red by 30.0
4169
#36
10.51.9
6.98.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned