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Red70
320517.8
71620.5
715340.7
Blue80
12574.1
549112.0
1006323.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82131501001507080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
6Coral scored#9
23Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
47Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
70Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7153
#13
40.70.6
38.037.4
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
blue by 33.4
125
#2
74.12.0
74.472.3
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
716
#31
20.50.5
19.919.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
blue by 3.3
23.82.0
24.622.6
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Third
3205
#30
17.80.5
18.918.5
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
red by 5.7
5491
#26
12.02.0
11.79.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned