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Red91
964448.7
127732.5
1039321.9
Blue81
39588.5
115367.4
870918.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117111501001502009181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+2Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
29Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
48Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
91Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
48.71.0
47.346.3
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
blue by 18.7
67.41.2
65.764.5
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
Second
32.51.0
32.931.9
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
red by 13.8
8709
#32
18.81.2
23.021.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Third
21.91.0
25.424.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
red by 13.5
3958
#38
8.51.2
10.08.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed