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Red171
237056.8
176869.3
416910.5
Blue119
320517.8
23054.9
111940.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112250100200250171119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
29Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +38
22Coral scored#17
78Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
18Processor points6
28Net points20
46Algae points26
124Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#4
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points0
171Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.31.7
63.565.3
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
red by 14.4
230
#5
54.90.7
53.352.6
Auto18.2
Teleop30.5
End6.1
Second
56.81.7
53.855.6
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
red by 16.3
1119
#18
40.50.7
41.140.4
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
Third
4169
#36
10.51.7
8.810.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 7.2
3205
#30
17.80.7
18.517.8
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed