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Red140
549112.0
715340.7
169958.4
Blue125
12642.7
545939.7
15732.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061236080100140160180140125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
18Processor points12
32Net points20
50Algae points32
99Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
2Foul points6
140Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#21
58.42.4
55.357.7
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
red by 15.6
126
#22
42.70.4
42.142.5
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
Second
7153
#13
40.72.6
37.440.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
red by 1.1
39.70.4
38.639.0
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Third
5491
#26
12.02.4
9.612.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 20.6
157
#34
32.60.5
32.132.6
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed