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Red116
207926.1
175742.0
8867.9
Blue120
362322.8
12574.1
226220.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15112150100200116120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points33
27Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
75Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
116Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#10
67.91.3
67.365.9
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
blue by 6.2
125
#2
74.10.1
72.372.2
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
1757
#15
42.01.3
43.141.8
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
red by 19.2
3623
#25
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Third
2079
#37
26.11.3
25.724.3
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
red by 5.6
2262
#28
20.50.1
20.720.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed