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Red33
870918.8
1039321.9
854423.0
Blue109
500046.9
542244.9
39588.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611320406010014016018033109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+66
Endgame+68
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave6
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +38
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
6Foul points14
33Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8544
#35
23.03.7
26.823.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
blue by 23.8
5000
#11
46.90.3
47.246.9
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
Second
21.93.1
24.421.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
blue by 23.0
5422
#14
44.90.3
44.043.7
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Third
8709
#32
18.83.1
21.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
red by 10.3
3958
#38
8.50.3
8.88.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed