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Red129
173536.9
111940.5
490535.3
Blue149
860431.7
1006323.8
115367.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12613550100150200129149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +23
19Coral scored#21
69Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
12Processor points24
12Net points16
24Algae points40
93Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
129Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1119
#18
40.50.2
40.440.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
blue by 26.9
67.41.2
64.565.7
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
Second
1735
#17
36.90.2
36.837.0
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
red by 5.2
8604
#23
31.71.2
30.531.7
Auto4.4
Teleop25.3
End2.0
Third
4905
#24
35.30.2
35.135.3
Auto7.8
Teleop23.0
End4.5
red by 11.5
23.81.2
22.623.8
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned