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Red146
71620.5
174041.1
237056.8
Blue130
862636.4
318232.6
964448.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711750100150200146130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +3
18Coral scored#19
65Coral points70
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
18Processor points18
16Net points8
34Algae points26
99Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#8
7L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
10Foul points0
146Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.81.0
55.656.6
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
red by 8.1
9644
#16
48.71.2
46.347.5
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
Second
1740
#19
41.11.0
39.440.4
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
red by 4.7
8626
#29
36.41.2
33.334.4
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
Third
716
#31
20.51.0
19.420.5
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
blue by 12.1
3182
#33
32.61.2
27.929.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned