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Red192
862636.4
8867.9
12574.1
Blue105
500046.9
111940.5
173536.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196127100150250192105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+77Teleop
+81Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points24
51Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +53
25Coral scored#12
89Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
113Total teleop60
Reef
14L4#7
11L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +87
12Foul points6
192Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
74.10.2
72.272.3
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
red by 27.3
5000
#11
46.90.6
46.946.3
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
Second
88
#10
67.90.2
65.966.1
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
red by 27.3
1119
#18
40.50.6
40.640.0
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
Third
8626
#29
36.40.2
34.434.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
blue by 0.5
1735
#17
36.90.6
37.036.4
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7