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Red143
964448.7
1039321.9
542244.9
Blue123
206746.6
127732.5
12642.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11913180100140160180143123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
21Coral scored#17
75Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
95Total teleop74
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points2
143Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
48.70.6
47.948.5
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
red by 2.1
2067
#12
46.60.0
46.646.6
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
Second
5422
#14
44.90.6
44.144.7
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
red by 2.2
126
#22
42.70.0
42.842.7
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
Third
21.90.6
21.321.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
blue by 10.6
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0