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Red170
237056.8
175742.0
110051.6
Blue151
174041.1
545939.7
169958.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15914080100120180200220240170151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +9
23Coral scored#17
83Coral points62
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
12Processor points24
16Net points16
28Algae points40
111Total teleop102
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#32
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
170Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.4
56.957.3
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
blue by 1.6
1699
#21
58.40.2
58.158.4
Auto7.9
Teleop44.4
End6.1
Second
51.60.4
51.752.1
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
red by 10.5
1740
#19
41.10.2
40.841.1
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
Third
1757
#15
42.00.4
42.142.5
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
red by 2.3
39.70.2
39.439.7
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End1.5