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Red74
61423.3
337324.3
463827.4
Blue100
859033.9
482127.9
623919.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7789406010012014074100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +43
8Coral scored#17
29Coral points62
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
41Total teleop84
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
12Foul points0
74Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#13
27.41.3
16.915.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
blue by 6.4
33.90.6
28.729.3
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
Second
24.31.3
23.322.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
blue by 3.6
27.90.6
27.728.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
Third
614
#14
23.31.3
23.121.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 3.8
19.50.6
14.114.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed