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Red35
524315.1
218615.8
173149.5
Blue64
872625.2
337324.3
11617.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835302040601001201403564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+21
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
35Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.52.7
50.848.1
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
red by 24.3
8726
#10
25.20.6
22.322.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Second
2186
#17
15.84.5
14.49.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.7
blue by 8.5
24.30.6
18.919.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Third
5243
#24
15.12.7
9.97.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 2.6
116
#4
17.70.6
13.113.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned