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Red92
138927.3
144613.9
903318.3
Blue104
463827.4
482127.9
189532.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6191020408010012092104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
69Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
92Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#19
27.32.6
23.426.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
blue by 5.4
1895
#12
32.70.8
27.428.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
Second
9033
#15
18.32.6
17.019.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 9.6
27.90.8
27.828.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
Third
1446
#25
13.92.6
10.413.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 13.5
4638
#13
27.40.8
16.417.2
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed